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Survey reveals level of support for pardons in Congress

deercreekfoundation November 14, 2025
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According to a survey conducted in the National Assembly and published this Friday (11/14), the majority of parliamentarians believe that no pardons for those convicted of the January 8 attacks should be approved this year. This survey was conducted by Politician Ranking.

According to the survey, 36.5% of federal lawmakers said they would not approve any measures that would benefit people arrested for acts at Plaza de la Tres Poderes in the current legislative year. In the Senate, the percentage is even higher, reaching 48.2%.

Bill (PL) 2162/2023 is currently being processed in the Chamber. This proposal has been recognized as urgent and includes amnesty for demonstrators who participated in the second election and beyond. The project is being reported by Paulinho da Forsa (Solidaredade-SP), who is betting on a reduced sentence but is facing difficulties in gaining support from both the government and the opposition.

On the other hand, when asked about an amnesty vote in 2026, members of Congress’ favorability ratings increase. In the House of Representatives, 18.7% said the House would approve a commutation of sentences next year, and 12.1% said it would pass a broad pardon with support from supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL).

This scenario was repeated in the Senate, where 29.6% said they thought commutations would be approved for those convicted of anti-democratic acts, and 7.4% said they thought broad pardons would be approved.

107 federal parliamentarians from 20 political parties were interviewed. 27 senators from 12 political party acronyms participated between October 21 and 31. The margin of error is plus or minus 2%, and the confidence level is 95%.

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