Radical right-wing candidates Jose Antonio Casto and libertarian Johannes Kaiserthere is a tie with about 20% of those willing to vote, and the vote will decide who will vote this Sunday, the 16th. … Will go to the second round of Chile’s presidential election and face the ruling communist candidate Janet Jarawould receive 33.6% of the vote.
These data are presented in the most recent study conducted in 2016. Chile ABC accessed this article by sociologist Alberto Mayor and his company La Cosa Nostra.
Chile prohibits the distribution of: questionnaire The measure has been described as outdated and unreasonable by Chilean media and population industry experts. As a result of this ban, the country has a black market for polls every election cycle.
In the past two weeks, four private surveys have been widely disseminated on WhatsApp and Telegram, and thanks to the ABC, the results of the fifth measurement, created by La Cosa Nostra, can be found.
Chile’s secret poll
Voting intention (percentage)
: Field
: It was carried out between.
November 3rd and November 11thsample
: Sampling frame of 250,000 contacts.
Apply online
600 valid interviews conducted fountain: La Cosa Nostra and agencies
/ABC
Chile’s secret poll
Voting intention (percentage)
: Field: Held from November 3rd to 11th
sample
: Sampling frame of 250,000 contacts. Apply online 600 valid interviews conductedfountain:
La Cosa Nostra and agencies /ABCresult of This latest pollthat field investigation concluded on Tuesday, November 11, and is consistent with other recently known investigations. Communist Jarrah, standard-bearer of the centre-left and supporter of continuity of government
Gabriel Boric
will be number 1 in Sunday’s vote. The La Cosa Nostra poll is the one that voted for him at the highest rate of any known poll (see graph) and is the result of decanting undecided votes. right splitThe big new thing is
right wing candidate
a sector divided into three candidates who share 55 percent to 60 percent of voting intentions. According to all opinion polls, the frontrunner to advance to the second round against Jara is Republican Jose Antonio Casto. Moreover, the majority of those surveyed agree that Mr. Casto is the frontrunner to become the next president of Chile. But opinion polls in recent weeks have shown the Liberal candidate, YouTuber Johannes Kaiser, making a big leap forward. According to La Cosa Nostra newspaper, Casto with 20.3 percent and Kaiser with 20.0 percent will technically be tied for second place, so the definition of who will advance to the runoff could be photogenic. Center-right candidate Evelyn Massey, who was the sector’s front-runner just a few months ago, has slipped to 16.2% of voting intentions and is far from a second-round contender. For many observers, this is the most politically devastating fact. The previously organized right wing has now split into three competing candidates. Many analysts believe that even one right-wing candidate could have won.
president of the republic They voted in person in the first round, receiving more than 50 percent of the votes, which may have been a better reflection of the Chilean people’s desire for change. Remaining candidates appear to have no real options: populists Franco ParisiIt remains at 5.5%. centrist Harold Mayne Nicholsin 3.2. left wing Marco Enriquez Ominamiwith 0.7, communist
Eduardo Artes
0.5 percent. Countries that vote blindlyThe distribution of this data clashes with a legal framework that many in Chile consider outdated. Since 2016, Law 18,700 has established one of the longest bans in the democratic world.
15 days without investigation
a period shared only by Paraguay, Italy, Greece, Slovakia, and Montenegro. In Europe, most countries limit power outages to one week or less, as is the case in Spain, but some countries, especially Scandinavian and Anglo-Saxon countries, do not apply them at all.
The original purpose of Chile’s code was to protect voters from manipulated or methodologically flawed polls. In fact, this measure accomplishes the opposite. It banishes the media from the information circuit and empowers opaque channels through which information flows without any verification.
The purpose of Chile’s law was to protect voters from manipulated or flawed polls, but in practice it empowers opaque channels without verification. This contradiction is clear. Although official media is muzzled, personal measurements are shared daily in WhatsApp groups, Telegram lists, and unofficial chains. Far from protecting, this restriction creates democratic asymmetries. This means that only the best connected will access your data. The general public is left in the dark.In an editorial, Chilean newspaper La Tercera accused the rules of “facilitating the activities of those who spread false or manipulated content” and excluding those who could verify it. and political scientists Alberto Mayorfrom
La Cosa Nostra has defended his campaign against criticism from other pollsters and, ironically, sparked a national debate without being able to provide the numbers that led to it. These massive outflows are
Opinion polls show gaps between Chile’s laws and digital ecosystem. The ban, aimed at ensuring a period of deliberation, would force voters to vote blindly at the most crucial stage of an election campaign, while political elites act with the latest strategic information. The result is a model that erodes equality before voting and privileges information. Election officials have defended the rule as an institutional safeguard, but each election cycle shows that “blackouts” no longer work. Public conversations continue to take place in the shadows, forcing citizens to orient themselves among rumors.
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