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  • Sunset over Prokovsk urges progress towards the Dnieper
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Sunset over Prokovsk urges progress towards the Dnieper

deercreekfoundation November 12, 2025
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A recent statement by the Russian Foreign Minister to TASS news agency: Sergei Lavrov Regarding his intention to meet with the US Secretary of State, marco rubio Talking about Ukraine is not banal. Together with them, Lavrov attempts to reconstruct his former self. … Internal damage was caused by the cancellation of the Trump-Putin summit that was scheduled to be held in Budapest.

Similarly, on the one hand, strengthening Russian positions on the front lines, on the other hand, Dig deeper into “fatigue” Western countries are said to be supporting Kiev as the war continues to drag on. Such a political cloak cannot hide the fact that the Russian military retains the initiative on the Ukrainian front. Through the air, they are accelerating operations to destroy power, energy, and rail infrastructure, as well as Ukraine’s military-industrial complex. Kiev, Zaporizhia, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, Pavlovrad, Kharkiv, and Sumy are the areas that came under attack from a large wave of Gelan warship drones and other decoy drones (to saturate Ukraine’s anti-aircraft systems), as well as a wide range of missiles from Russia’s large arsenal. Iskander’s trajectory. or Kinzhal hypersonic (launched from an aircraft). Although Kiev touts much of it as destroyed, its devastating impact is undeniable and may indicate Moscow’s intention to paralyze Ukraine east of the Dnieper River.

On the front, the bloodiest fighting is taking place (from north to south) in Kupiansk, Liman, Siversk, Kostinivska, Prokovsk-Milnohrad, and the regions of Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia oblasts. The last three are the most important and relevant battlefields. In any case, even if the Ukrainian army fights bravely, it seems unable to stop the Russian advance. The first of these two towns in the defensive fortifications of the Prokovsk-Milnohrad urban district has already been effectively occupied by Russian forces. From this advantageous position, they advance eastward, supported by the launch of Russian high-explosive air bombs (FAB-3000).

withdrawal or resistance

They have deployed about 10,000 Ukrainian troops and are trying to complete the siege of Mirnohrad, which still has an opening of about 1.5 kilometers. The Ukrainian military command is therefore likely to have to choose between withdrawing its forces, which are already virtually surrounded and whose logistics are highly compromised, perhaps towards Gulayapol, or hold out until the last efforts of the defenders.

The stronghold of Prokovsk-Milnohrad, strongly organized and defended without any thought of retreat, has so far attracted the greatest Ukrainian efforts. Therefore, if this work were to fall into Russian hands, it would have a huge impact on the theater as a whole. In addition to the obvious material consequences, there will also be a significant demoralizing effect on the Ukrainian military. It could possibly cause the collapse of the Ukrainian front, at least in Donbas. Moreover, it can be concluded that the Russian military command already envisages the likely immediate neutralization of the fortifications, which until now seemed an insurmountable obstacle to the westward advance of its forces – an assumption that is part of high-level operational planning.

This problem seems likely to be overcome after the start of the Russian army’s advance towards Pokrovske in Dnipropetrovk Oblast. Important land communications hubs (including railway stations). It is set as the next relevant tactical objective east of the Dnieper in the region. Once there, the Russian command will have to decide whether to continue advancing in the direction set by the N15 highway towards Zaporizhzhia (78 km away) or along the T0401 towards Dnipropetrovsk (100 km away).

The first option, than the second, is the capital (and therefore “its own land”) of an oblast (Zaporiyya) that was integrated into the Russian Federation by President Putin, so it is more accessible terrain for advancement, provides more profitable targets, and, in addition, would facilitate connections and territorial continuity with the Russian military further south (north of Vasilevka). That is, it would be more likely, both in terms of terrain and aims and objectives, that the Russian army would advance from Pokrovske towards Zaporizhzhia. Like Dnipropetrovsk, the city was included in the operational-level targets of the special military operation that President Putin launched his invasion of Ukraine about four years ago.

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