If general elections were held today, the PSOE would win more seats than the PP in only three autonomous communities: Catalonia, the Basque Country and Navarre, according to a new Sociometrica study for El Espanol.
The study shows that so far Pedro Sánchez’s strategy of instituting five ministers to overthrow the PP’s autonomous government has not been successful: Diana Morant (Valencian Community); Maria Jesus Montero (Andalusia), oscar lopez (Madrid), Pilar Alegria (Aragon) and angel victor torres (Canary Islands).
Since the summer, Moncloa has deployed this strategy in all its crudeness. They used Dana’s death against Mazon, a nursing home death during the pandemic against Ayuso, and a failed breast cancer test against Ayuso. Juanma Moreno.
He was also involved in managing two tragic fires in August last year. Baron The value of PP will soon be measured by voting: maria guardiola (December 21) and Alfonso Fernández Manueco (next March).
The pressure on Carlos Mazon paid off. The popular leader announced his resignation a week ago after the state funeral of Dana’s victims.
Pedro Sánchez had claimed that the deaths of more than 200 Dana were due to “individual negligence”. However, after Mr. Mazon’s ouster, he has already changed his words and now blames “.”Majority of naysayers on PP and Vox“We demand elections for the Valencian Community.
This was requested by all ministers and PSOE leaders who participated in public events throughout this weekend.
According to Sociometrica’s research, in today’s general elections the PP will win 11 seats in the Valencian Community (same as 23-J), while the PSOE will lose one seat (only 10 remain).
Mr. Compromise will also lose one seat, leaving him with three seats and cannot use his campaign against Mazon. Only Vox wins, going from 5 to 7.
Vice President María Jesús Montero has doubled her presence in Andalusia: as a PSOE candidate she will be valued Juanma Moreno (will be re-elected as PP regional leader this weekend) in next June’s vote.
The main obstacle for Ms Montero to reach the San Telmo Palace is her job as finance minister to offer Catalonia a differentiated financing model. Catalan language assignment It is comparable to regional governments in the Basque Country and Navarre.
If general elections were held today, the PP would improve its results in Andalusia and increase its parliamentary seats from 25 to 27. Instead, María Jesús Montero’s PSOE is 2 losses. (It goes from 21 to 19).
Vox will have another growth spurt, increasing from nine to 14 seats in Congress. Five of Schmal’s six members of parliament will disappear, leaving him with only one.
In the Community of Madrid, little has changed, and the Minister of Digital Transformation said: oscar lopezserves as a daily battering ram against Isabel Díaz Ayuso.
In the general election, both the PP (with 16 seats) and the PSOE (which retains today’s 10 seats in parliament) will repeat their results. However, the collapse of the far left favors the third-party race, with Box gaining two seats and coming in seventh place.
They will also repeat their results in Aragon PP (seven seats) and PSOE (four seats). However, polls showed Vox won the only far-left seat, rising to two seats.
Although it was not Mr Sánchez’s responsibility, he entrusted Minister Ángel Víctor Torres with the management of the migrant crisis in the Canary Islands in order to increase visibility within the territory.
However, PSOE does not consider this situation to be advantageous. In the general election, the PP will maintain six seats, while the Socialist Party will lose one seat, leaving only five seats. The Canary Union will retain its only seat in the Chamber of Deputies, while Vox will increase from one to three seats.
Angel Victor Torres is currently facing another challenge. The latest UCO report reveals that while president of the Canary Islands, he succumbed to pressure from Cordo García to speed up payment for Victor de Aldama’s plan with a $1 million mask contract (despite the fact that regional government engineers had doubts about the quality and usefulness of the masks).
President Pedro Sánchez treated Emiliano García Page, the only president of Castilla-La Mancha, with the utmost contempt. Baron The PSOE has criticized the agreement with the secessionists and has been unable to reverse it.
In the general election, the region will see a decrease in both the PP (the number of MPs will increase from 10 to 9) and the PSOE (the number of MPs will decrease from 8 to 7). Once again, only Box will have an advantage, and the region will now have five members of parliament instead of three.
The PSOE maintains its hegemony in Catalonia, but the general election will see its number of MPs reduced from 19 to 16. PP increases (from 6 to 8), Vox (from 2 to 5), and Jantz wins one after breaking with the government (gaining 8). ERC will maintain its current seven cases.
The dynamic graph that accompanies this information displays the rest of the CCAA, always general election results.
Technical sheet:
From 6 to 8 November 2025, the CAWI panel system carried out 1,100 surveys of Spaniards with the right to vote. The sample was balanced in consecutive stages using gender, age, state, and vote recall assignments. Convergence with national totals and uncrossed interactions is 97% (no sampling error or confidence level applied due to non-probability sampling). The study was conducted by I+A member SocioMétrica (Instituto de Estudios Sociales SL) and supervised by Gonzalo Adan, PhD in social psychology and DEA in behavioral science methodology.
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