Chile preparing to renew the presidency this year sunday 16 November. Atas Intel’s latest research reaffirms that ruling party candidates are: Janet Hara leads polls But the numbers won’t allow him to avoid this problem. spillthis could cloud the continuity of progressivism in the event of potential polarization with the United States. extreme right.
The survey was conducted from November 10 to 14, the week before the election, with a total of 3,118 respondents using a random digital data collection method (Atlas RDR) with a margin of error of 2 points.
According to the obtained figures, Former Minister of Labor Gabriel BoricJanet Jara, a member of the Communist Party, said: High intention to vote (32.2%). They are followed by far-right candidates by a considerable margin. Jose Antonio Casto (18.1%) and Johannes Kaiser (14.9%). The latter belongs to the National Liberal Party; imitate Javier Millay. In 4th place, Elebryn Masseyfrom the more moderate right, 14.4%.
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Assuming no one reaches an absolute majority, or half plus one vote, this number leaves the door open to a runoff. In that case, the ruling party’s chances will be complicated. When asked how to vote, final second roundhe 49% of respondents chose Kast,on the other hand, 39% choose Jara and 12% answered “I don’t know.”
Bolić is not a candidate, but his confirmation of government will be contested in the election. In a survey conducted by Atlas Intel, 48.8% of respondents rated management as “very poor,” 27.4% as “good,” and 22.4% as “fair.”
Strategic shifts of Chile’s two main presidential candidates
Regarding Chile’s main issues, respondents had to choose up to three topics from a list of 17 topics. Corruption (53.2%), insecurity and drug trafficking (52.8%), and immigration (31%) were thus chosen as the country’s biggest problems.
Regarding the economic situation, expectations are much more positive than in Argentina. When asked about their economic outlook six months from now, 55% said they had a positive outlook. However, when asked about their family’s current economic situation, 47% said it was “bad,” and even in Chile, 61% considered the economic situation negative. Regarding the labor market, 66% answered that it was “bad.”
A surprising fact compared to the reality in Argentina is that former president michelle bacheletruled from 2006 to 2010 and from 2014 to 2018. Unlike the last leader on this side of the mountains, who had a negative number, Bachelet good image, 46% positive Against 43% negative opinions.
What will be chosen and how many votes will be cast?
Next Sunday, November 16th, Chile will hold an election day in which the people will elect the president of the republic and renew all seats in the lower house (155) and 23 of the 50 seats in the upper house.
In compulsory elections, 15.8 million people are eligible to vote in a country of about 20 million people.
To win the presidency in the first round, a candidate must receive an absolute majority of valid votes. If this is not achieved, there will be a second round or run-off between the two candidates receiving the most votes, scheduled for Sunday, December 14th.
LM/DCQ
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