The current negotiations between Valencia PP and Vox to propose a generalitat presidential candidate to replace Carlos Masson are clearly similar to the express agreement that promoted him in June 2023. The populists then took on a significant portion of the far-right ideology embodied in the 50-Point Pact. Mr. Massón managed to enter the Palau de la Generalitat, but the speed with which the agreement was signed during the general election campaign, and the evidence of the PP’s willingness to give Vox political initiatives on social issues in order to take power, made the political story of Pedro Sánchez a reality, mobilizing left-wing votes and hampering Mr. Alberto Núñez Feijó’s prospects of reaching Moncloa.
Currently, Santiago Abascal’s party still has many favorable assets to impose guidelines on the National Party, which has been seriously injured at the regional level after a year of supporting a president who has become a symbol of incompetence. Nuñez Feijó’s party lacks a clear replacement for Massón and urgently needs to find a way out of the power vacuum left by Massón, who was forced to resign due to a criminal investigation into Dana’s mismanagement and the disapproval of his victims. If no agreement is reached to find a candidate, elections will be held. Either way, Vox wins.
We believe that the PP will once again succumb to ultra-demands, as precedent and the current electoral situation are unfavorable to the PP and could encourage leftist participation in the community. These include, inter alia, tightening policies on unaccompanied minors and questioning the European Union’s Green Deal, promoted by European People’s Party President Ursula von der Leyen. Last March, amid negotiations with Vox to advance the budget, Mazon had already issued an impromptu statement against “climate dogmatism” and child rationing. On the eve of the Valencia-Dana anniversary, which experts around the world cite as an example of the climate crisis, the PP supported the Vox resolution to create differentiated statistics reflecting, among other things, the “number of existing blood donors” between the “healthy population” and the “migrant population”. He also approved giving talks about hunting in schools. On October 26, the day of the last large-scale demonstration demanding Mazon’s resignation, Vox organized an event against a temporary asylum for migrant minors in Valencia. Closing these centers is being considered.
Thus, the immediate future of the Generalitat passes through Vox, who rubs his hands while tightening the ropes on demand. If an agreement is reached, the far right will recognize this as a responsible organization that will bring stability to a community still traumatized and rebuilding after a catastrophe that left 229 people dead. If there is no deal and early elections are held, he surprise Please be more decisive than ever against the PP, especially in the Valencian region. Valencia could once again become a laboratory for national politics. The perception that the party is tied to Vox on sensitive issues, or that Vox is winning in the polls, will affect the party’s credibility in Extremadura and Castile and León, where elections are scheduled in the coming months. And perhaps even to the national PP, as happened two years ago.